# decisions

ticker: KXBTC15M-26AUG031215-15
mode: AUTO
momentum: UP
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] RSI 76 overbought but no sharp spike; trend mixed,
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] RSI 76 overbought but no sharp spike; trend mixed,


ticker: KXBTC15M-26AUG031315-15
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] RSI oversold but trend still down; no clear fade e
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] RSI oversold but trend still down; no clear fade e


ticker: KXBTC15M-26AUG031530-30
mode: AUTO
momentum: UP
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] RSI 70 overbought + fear regime, no clear fade edg
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] RSI 70 overbought + fear regime, no clear fade edg


ticker: KXBTC15M-26AUG031700-00
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] Fear regime + mixed short-term trends, no clear ed
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] Fear regime + mixed short-term trends, no clear ed


ticker: KXBTC15M-26AUG031815-15
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] RSI(5m)=23 oversold, trend multi-timeframe down; n
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] RSI(5m)=23 oversold, trend multi-timeframe down; n


ticker: KXBTC15M-26AUG032115-15
mode: AUTO
momentum: UP
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] No clear spike to fade; neutral RSI, normal regime
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] No clear spike to fade; neutral RSI, normal regime


# events

level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030100-00 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.07% conf=0.75 [[ENSEMBLE: 0U/2D/0S] qwen3.5=DOWN | ornith=DOWN]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030115-15 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.07% conf=0.75 [[ENSEMBLE: 0U/2D/0S] qwen3.5=DOWN | ornith=DOWN]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030345-45 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.08% conf=0.65 [[ENSEMBLE: 0U/2D/1S] qwen3.5=SKIP | ornith=DOWN | qwen3.5-gp]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030430-30 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.16% conf=0.75 [[ENSEMBLE: 0U/2D/0S] qwen3.5=DOWN | ornith=DOWN]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030445-45 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.08% conf=0.80 [[ENSEMBLE: 0U/2D/0S] qwen3.5=DOWN | ornith=DOWN]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030645-45 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.06% conf=0.65 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.65 | qwen=DOWN] RSI(5m)=97 overbought, s]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030730-30 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.02% conf=0.78 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.78 | qwen=DOWN] RSI(5m)=80 overbought, s]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030745-45 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.08% conf=0.75 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.75 | qwen=SKIP] RSI 100/99 overbought, s]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030800-00 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.01% conf=0.65 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.65 | qwen=SKIP] RSI(1m)=100 overbought, ]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030815-15 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.08% conf=0.65 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.65 | qwen=SKIP] Sharp 15m down spike, RS]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030830-30 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.11% conf=0.75 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.75 | qwen=SKIP] RSI 100 overbought + sha]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030845-45 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.01% conf=0.75 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.75 | qwen=SKIP] RSI 99 overbought, sharp]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030900-00 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.23% conf=0.78 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.78 | qwen=SKIP] RSI 1m=100 overbought, s]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030915-15 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.01% conf=0.75 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.75 | qwen=SKIP] RSI 93 overbought, sharp]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030930-30 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.12% conf=0.75 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.75 | qwen=SKIP] RSI 100 overbought, shar]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG030945-45 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.17% conf=0.65 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.65 | qwen=SKIP] RSI 19 oversold, sharp d]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG031000-00 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.16% conf=0.65 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.65 | qwen=SKIP] RSI(1m)=42 neutral, 15m ]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG031015-15 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.19% conf=0.65 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.65 | qwen=SKIP] Sharp 1h/2h uptrend fadi]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG031030-30 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.17% conf=0.65 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.65 | qwen=SKIP] Sharp 1h+2h uptrend fadi]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG031045-45 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.48% conf=0.78 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.78 | qwen=SKIP] RSI(1m)=73 overbought, s]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG031100-00 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.25% conf=0.78 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.78 | qwen=DOWN] RSI 81 overbought, sharp]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG031145-45 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.14% conf=0.78 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.78 | qwen=SKIP] RSI 1m=100 overbought, s]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG031330-30 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.30% conf=0.78 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.78 | qwen=SKIP] RSI 96 overbought, sharp]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXBTC15M-26AUG031415-15 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.01% conf=0.78 [[ornith-lead DOWN 0.78 | qwen=SKIP] RSI(1m) oversold at 2, s]


level: error
msg:
loop error: HTTPSConnectionPool(host='api.elections.kalshi.com', port=443): Read timed out. (read timeout=15)


# kv

k: control_override
v:
{"force_min_conf": 0.62, "force_swing_threshold": 0.008, "reason": "Improve win rate and reduce losses."}


