# decisions

ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG030845-45
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.85) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] Strong multi-timeframe downtrend, BTC bearish, no
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.85) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] Strong multi-timeframe downtrend, BTC bearish, no 


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG031030-30
mode: AUTO
momentum: UP
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.95)] RSI 87 overbought, no clear mean-reversion edge ye
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.95)] RSI 87 overbought, no clear mean-reversion edge ye


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG031215-15
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=DOWN(0.52)] RSI(1m)=55 neutral but 15m momentum DOWN; BTC bull
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=DOWN(0.52)] RSI(1m)=55 neutral but 15m momentum DOWN; BTC bull


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG031300-00
mode: AUTO
momentum: UP
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] No clear spike to fade; neutral RSI, sideways mark
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] No clear spike to fade; neutral RSI, sideways mark


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG031500-00
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.85) ornith=DOWN(0.52)] RSI(1m) at 52 neutral but 1h/2h bullish — fading 1
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.85) ornith=DOWN(0.52)] RSI(1m) at 52 neutral but 1h/2h bullish — fading 1


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG031530-30
mode: AUTO
momentum: UP
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=DOWN(0.52)] RSI(1m)=45 neutral but 1h trend -0.12% fading; BTC
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=DOWN(0.52)] RSI(1m)=45 neutral but 1h trend -0.12% fading; BTC


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG031530-30
mode: AUTO
momentum: UP
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] No clear spike to fade; neutral RSI, BTC bullish m
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] No clear spike to fade; neutral RSI, BTC bullish m


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG031745-45
mode: AUTO
momentum: UP
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] Strong multi-timeframe uptrend, RSI not extreme, n
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] Strong multi-timeframe uptrend, RSI not extreme, n


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG031830-30
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=DOWN(0.52)] RSI(14,5m)=44 neutral, no extreme; BTC bearish mac
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=DOWN(0.52)] RSI(14,5m)=44 neutral, no extreme; BTC bearish mac


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG031915-15
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.95)] Strong downtrend across all timeframes, no clear m
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.95)] Strong downtrend across all timeframes, no clear m


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG032015-15
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] No clear edge; RSI=0, extreme fear, no spike detec
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] No clear edge; RSI=0, extreme fear, no spike detec


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG032100-00
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] Strong 24h downtrend, extreme fear, no clear mean-
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] Strong 24h downtrend, extreme fear, no clear mean-


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG032100-00
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] RSI neutral, no spike detected, extreme fear regim
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] RSI neutral, no spike detected, extreme fear regim


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG032100-00
mode: AUTO
momentum: DOWN
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] No clear edge; neutral RSI, normal regime, no spik
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.85)] No clear edge; neutral RSI, normal regime, no spik


ticker: KXSOL15M-26AUG032130-30
mode: AUTO
momentum: UP
llm_vote: SKIP
llm_why: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] RSI(1m)=100 overbought but 24h range near top; fad
final: SKIP
reason:
passes: [split qwen=SKIP(0.50) ornith=SKIP(0.50)] RSI(1m)=100 overbought but 24h range near top; fad


# events

level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXSOL15M-26AUG022230-30 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.20% conf=0.65 [RSI 78/81 overbought, sharp UP momentum fading]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXSOL15M-26AUG022230-30 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.13% conf=0.65 [RSI(5m)=75 overbought, fading the spike]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXSOL15M-26AUG022300-00 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.05% conf=0.65 [RSI(1m)=17 oversold, sharp down trend fading into mean rever]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXSOL15M-26AUG022300-00 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.10% conf=0.65 [RSI 25 oversold, sharp down trend, fade the dip]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXSOL15M-26AUG022315-15 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.02% conf=0.65 [RSI(1m)=75 overbought, fading sharp UP spike]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXSOL15M-26AUG022330-30 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.05% conf=0.65 [RSI oversold at 30, price near range low, fading the down sp]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXSOL15M-26AUG030000-00 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.05% conf=0.65 [RSI(1m) at 50 neutral, but BTC bearish macro + choppy regime]


level: error
msg:
loop error: HTTPSConnectionPool(host='api.elections.kalshi.com', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: /trade-api/v2/markets?series_ticker=KXSOL15M&status=open&limit=3 (Caused by ProxyError('Unable to connect to proxy', RemoteDisconnected('Remote end closed connection without response')))


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXSOL15M-26AUG030245-45 @ 50¢ — DOWN: DOWN spike 0.18% conf=0.77 [[ENSEMBLE: 0U/2D/0S] qwen3.5=DOWN | ornith=DOWN]


level: info
msg:
POST NO x1 KXSOL15M-26AUG030330-30 @ 50¢ — DOWN: UP spike 0.03% conf=0.75 [[ENSEMBLE: 0U/2D/1S] qwen3.5=SKIP | ornith=DOWN | qwen3.5-gp]


level: error
msg:
loop error: HTTPSConnectionPool(host='api.elections.kalshi.com', port=443): Read timed out. (read timeout=15)


